Pavel Lagutin vs Matt Ponchet Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Over the past six months, Lagutin has secured 33.7% of their second serve points compared to Ponchet's 39.05%. Could this give Ponchet a small advantage? Yes, this statistic is highly predictive of match outcomes.
• Return Game: Lagutin has an edge on returning, winning 53.74% of opponents' second serve points while Ponchet scores 49.71%. On first serve returns, Lagutin again leads with 38.3% versus Ponchet's 26.07%.
• Pressure Situations: When facing breakpoints, Ponchet has saved 51.38% recently, outperforming Lagutin's 43.66%. This ability can be vital for live betting.
• Overall Performance: In the past year, Lagutin boasts a higher match win rate of 73.91%, compared to Ponchet's 56.76%.
• Best Surface: Both excel on Hard courts, but Lagutin shows a superior career win rate of 77%, while Ponchet stands at 57%.
• Playing Level: Both players primarily contest in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments, but Lagutin has been more successful, winning 73.91% of matches compared to Ponchet's 56.76%.
• Opponent Quality: Lagutin has faced slightly lower-ranked players on average (216.35) compared to Ponchet (213.68) in the past year.
• Deciding Sets: Lagutin performs strongly, with an 80% win rate in deciding sets, surpassing Ponchet's 67% over the last 12 months.
• Break Point Conversion: Recently, Lagutin has converted 48% of break points, whereas Ponchet stands at 33.82%, indicating a potential edge in close games.

Editorial Prediction (August 4, 2025, UTC):

As we compare recent performances, both players show distinct strengths. Ponchet excels in second serve success and breakpoint saving, key advantages under pressure situations. Meanwhile, Lagutin demonstrates stronger overall performance, especially in return games and deciding sets.

Although both play predominantly in similar level tournaments, Lagutin holds a higher match win percentage over the last year. However, we should consider Ponchet's slightly higher opponent ranking and reliability in crucial points.

Looking at surfaces, Lagutin appears more formidable on hard courts, with a superior win rate in their career history.

Considering these factors, Lagutin might hold a slight edge for an upcoming victory, particularly benefiting from superior return stats and consistency in deciding sets.